So, in the spirit of blogging, I thought of letting everyone know how to recognise that recession is setting in. What are the signs and symptoms of recession?
First and foremost, there will be more talk of bears and less of bulls. No, no, not in the National Geographic channel, but in all the business TV channels. The vocabulary in business circles will undergo some change. "Government should take their hands off from trade" will change to "Government should intervene". Flamboyant statements like "It is not Government's business to run business" will change to "It is Government's responsibility to bail out the sick units".Words like "Morality of bonuses" will be discussed over and over again - but it is a different matter that the companies will continue to pay high bonuses even from the bail-out money given by the government. Frugality, cost cutting measures, caution, bench strength, extra work force, inefficienty will be acknolwedged as important issues to talk about.
The line dividing management and labour will also become unclear, I think. Even quite well-paid employees whom you would have considered normally as 'rich management guys' will claim themselves as poor employees and resort to strikes and protest demonstrations.
Another thing I noticed in the newspapers. There will be an Opportunities section in the print media, which gives details of job availability. There will be articles around career guidance and about work place situations. The focus of these articles will change from 'how to pick up bright employees' to 'how to lay off your staff humanely'. Or, from the days of 'multi tasking or doing two jobs efficiently at the same time', you will see more articles on 'how to protect your job in the face of competition' etc.I wish these important issues continue to dominate our conversations even during boom times! Read this joke about a sarcastic dad recently.
Having landed a new job away from home, a young man wrote to his dad: "I have been made assistant manager, a feather in my cap."There are predictions that we have turned the corner and the recession is about to be overcome. But, again, history shows that the slowdown normally slows down very slowly. Wow!
Soon after came another piece of good news: "I am now general manager, another feather in my cap."
And, then the recession hit. "Have been laid off. Send money for train fare," read the telegram. The father wired back: "Use the feathers - fly home."










But, we have some ultra-optimists. They always look at the bright side of things and it comes naturally. I am now convinced that it is a habit and possible to be cultivated. I don't trust much in the motivation talks, Landmark forum, Laughing clubs and even in such camps that are being organised by corporates. But, what I do believe is that the atmosphere within the organisation, company of people and the issues which we handle in life can bring a sense of optimism in our general life as well.




The downward slide probably is around the corner. Hope, I will have the wisdom to realise that phase and adjust to that, rather than try to assert myself on some poor friends and colleagues around me then. But, such worries can wait. Let me enjoy life when the going is good.
This is Babu, an adivasi youth belonging to Paniya community near Gudalur. This photo was taken in a protest demonstration held in Gudalur town last month, against the demolision of two adivasi houses in a remote village by a private tea estate staff. (You can read more about it in our official newsletter
"This injustice has happened to one of our fellow adivasi famiy. The same thing can happen to our village also tomorrow and we will need the support of everyone. So, it is my duty to participate in the procession." Just because I asked this question to him the previous evening, he was "extra active" in the procession, I thought. Whether they win or not, people like Babu keep the spirit of justice in our world.
Now, to the results. The right wing hindu religion-oriented party's roller-coaster ride seemed to be making head-way and everyone thought that they are going to form the next government. Or worse, all the predictions were for a hung-parliament, without any party having a clear majority. The scenario which everyone predicted in the last few days (the worst outcome in my view) was that a group of small parties led by Left will form the government, supported unwillingly by congress from outside. Fortunately, all these predictions were proved wrong and the UPA alliance won a majority on its own. I was quite happy with the outcome, though I am personally not a big fan of congress culture! Possibly, the best outcome that could have been.
I was quite amused with all these analysis, because the same people were predicting a hung parliament a couple of days ago. Didn't they know this psychology of the voter then? If so, they could have predicted the outcome properly? In fact, the entire media was complaining that money power is rampant; people are being offered sops; voters are going to vote whoever gives money; freebies are the deciding factor and what not!
The 'Miracle of Aggregation' - an idea formalised in a mathematical demonstration by the social theorist Marquis de Condorcet - seems to work in Indian democracy. He showed that a group trying to reach a decision by a majority vote (and in which each individual is making an independent judgement) is very likely to reach a correct decision even if each individual is only slightly more likely to reach the correct conclusion than he would simply by flipping a coin. Applied to electorate, Condorcet's logis suggests that the electorate as a whole may be much wiser than any individual voter.
Even in our villages, many of the old people are called கருப்பாயி or வெள்ளையன் or மூக்கன் etc. (meaning, girl with dark skin, boy with a fair skin, one with a big nose). But, these days we have very modern names without any meaning whatsoever. The only criterion is that it should be hard to pronounce!
Someone accidentally may stumble upon a fact like this, but will there be people who purposely work on issues like this and find out an answer?
As I am not a corporate leader, I thought I am going to fail this personality test. But, still was curious to know how this website finds out about my personality when I myself have problems figuring out what is my personality. So, went to the website and filled all those questions. It hardly took 5 minutes. I was sure that my score will be 10 or 15, but was surprised to get 38.
Till then I was cooking up reasons and arguments to rubbish this sort of web personlity tests. But, after reading this glowing tribute to my personality, I am going to even argue that this is scientific, what a terrific method to analyse people and what not. You can try out this website just for fun. Here is the
Recently, Bala sent a series of one liners which Dilbert believes. Many of them are my motto in life too. So, here they are.









I don't know about other countries, but extrapolating the men of India, probably, it will be the biggest evil in any other under-developed country, I think.
I guess, Musings is not the place to write about such issues. I wanted to write some light stuff about the 'social drinking' of urban upper class only. But, I forgot what it was. Some other time, probably.




